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Friday, January 27, 2012

Florida Republican Primary Predictions

This was what I wrote on Facebook on 1/26 - "My prediction - Romney wins Florida with 38-39%, Gingrich 34-35%, Santorum 11-13% and Paul 10-11%. With 50 delegates this will give an air of inevitability for Romney and he will be the nominee. There is no electoral model that would ever have Paul winning against any candidate - Republican or Democrat. I know what his plan is but it's increasingly clear that the American people do not want a fight at the convention. There are good things about Dr. Paul but his stand on foreign policy would be disastrous for the United States and her allies. I also believe that as long as Romney doesn't make any serious mistakes and picks a good VP - he will be the next president of the United States. My bet is on Romney-Rubio."

Saturday, January 21, 2012

Newt Wins! Congratulations Mr. Speaker.

Congratulations Mr. Speaker. Newt Gingrich is currently taking South Carolina "by a comfortable margin" as I had predicted.
What's suprising is how much Santorum appears to be winning over Ron Paul. What would be great is if Paul dropped out and we could hear from the other candidates only since Paul has absolutely zero chance of getting the nomination. I would really rather spend my time listening to the ones who can actually win.

As far as Gingrich's moral failings, I believe in the power of repentance and forgiveness. The people who know him said that this is real. He's not my first choice - Santorum was but he's about done.
The two remaining viable candidates - Romney and Gingrich - will be a vast improvement over what we have now. Our country is in the process of being destroyed by this president. Please don't hear me say that he is doing it intentionally because I don't believe that for a second. Obama is a true-believer in liberalism and totally incompetent at the same time!

South Carolina - January 21, 2012

It's increasingly looking like Newt Gingrich will be the winner in South Carolina today and by a comfortable margin. I don't believe he will be the nominee as I still think that's Mitt Romney's to lose. Newt simply does not have the money or the organization that Romney has. At this point Romney is still favored to win Florida and pick up a whopping 50 delegates because Florida is still a winner-take-all state.

I dislike the changes in recent years to make the states proportional. They argue that it means that the nomination won't be wrapped up in the first month of the campaign. I believe that if the person wins the state they should actually "win" the state and get everything.

My personal favorite is Rick Santorum but I don't think his campaign is going anywhere.

As far as Newt Gingrich's moral failings, I have no problem forgiving him. I believe him and do think he is a changed man. I would vote for him if he is the nominee (which I doubt he will be though he will win today). If he somehow pulls it out, it will be very difficult for him to win over Obama.

Ron Paul will never be the nominee so there's no point in even talking about him anymore. His foreign policy is disastrous and he is furthest from the constitution on this issue.

The other three candidates are all excellent and all three have human flaws but that doesn't concern me. The ONLY thing that concerns me at this point is getting the disastrous Obama out of office.

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Mitt Romney Makes History!

Today Mitt Romney made history by being the first Republican non-incumbent candidate to win both Iowa and New Hampshire. That is true for both Republicans and Democrats so this is an amazing victory. He won by double-digits.

I believe that Mitt Romney will be the nominee and will be the next president of the United States. Listen to his victory speech and you will hear someone who inspires like president Reagan.

There seems to be a significant number of people supporting Ron Paul. Let me say that Ron Paul has ZERO chance of winning anything. Mark my words. He's 77 years old and would be older than Ronald Reagan was when he left office. He has run a bazillion times before and lost with dismal numbers - less than 1%. Many people who voted for him in the open primary would never vote for him in the General Election. Their goal is to get the most liberal candidate elected and the one most likely to lose to Obama. Second in most likely to lose to Obama would be Huntsman.

One thing is clear is that Rick Perry is done! He needs to get out of the race immediately. He will likely stay in through South Carolina but when he finishes third or lower there he will drop out.

Some people thing that Romney is not Conservative. I disagree! He may not be as Conservative as I or others would like but I am in agreement with at least 90% of what he stands for. Remember Reagan was pro-choice and a Democrat and he changed. People can change! I wanted Santorum but frankly there's no way he can win at this point.

So now my efforts turn to getting Mitt Romney elected as president and replacing one of the two worst presidents in my life.

Monday, January 9, 2012

Ron Paul - Scarier than Barack Obama

The one person who scares me more than president Obama is Ron Paul. Here are some of the comments he has made.

At the debate on May 5th, 2011 Wallace asked: “Are you suggesting that heroin and prostitution are an exercise of liberty?” After tripping up a little, Rep. Paul replied “yes,” then found himself arguing in favor of legalizing heroin, asking, “if we legalize heroin tomorrow, is everyone going to use heroin? How many people here would use heroin if it were legal?”

‎"If you have ever been robbed by a black teen-aged male, you know how unbelievably fleet-footed they can be." - Ron Paul, 1992

"Given the inefficiencies of what D.C. laughingly calls the `criminal justice system,' I think we can safely assume that 95 percent of the black males in that city are semi-criminal or entirely criminal." - Ron Paul, 1992


In a 2007 interview with John Stossel, Paul stated that he supported the right of gay couples to marry, so long as they didn't "impose" their relationship on anyone else, on the grounds of supporting voluntary associations.

Paul wrote of his opposition to the Civil Rights Act of 1964.

Paul describes Israel as: “an aggressive, national socialist state.” Paul has described the original World Trade Center bombing as a “retaliation” and during the Republican debates in 2007 and 2011 blamed American foreign policy for Al-Qaeda’s attacks.


It's interesting that Ron Paul is running as the Republican nominee (which he will never get) and is using Reagan in his ads. Here's what he said about Reagan and his administration in 1987: "Knowing this administration’s record, I wasn’t surprised by its Libyan disinformation campaign, Israeli-Iranian arms-for-hostages swap, or illegal funding of the Contras. All this has contributed to my disenchantment with the Republican Party, and helped me make up my mind… I want to totally disassociate myself from the policies that have given us unprecedented deficits, massive monetary inflation, indiscriminate military spending, an irrational and unconstitutional foreign policy, zooming foreign aid, the exaltation of international banking, and the attack on our personal liberties and privacy… I conclude that one must look to other avenues if a successful effort is ever to be achieved in reversing America’s direction… I therefore resign my membership in the Republican Party and enclose my membership card."

The last time he ran for president (let's see is that four times now), he said: "The Republican 'party' NOW stands for the BIG LIE, it stands for CRIME and DEATH, for GENOCIDE and PERVERSION, for TAXATION and GRAFT, for the FED and FINANCIAL RAPE, for DOMESTIC SPYING and the PATRIOT ACT, ...it stands for the end of LIBERTY and of our CONSTITUTION. Above all, it now stands for Zionism and WAR."

I am extremely confident that he has absolutely zero chance of getting the nomination so I'm not worried. I love what Donald Trump said on "Hannity" on 12/5: "Ron Paul has zero chance, zero, of getting elected or getting the nomination. He will do OK in Iowa and after Iowa he will fade into oblivion."

  

Sunday, January 8, 2012

Historical View of Defense Spending

If we listened to the Obama administration we would be led to believe that defense spending consumes a disproportionately high level of Federal spending. The fact is that we are spending far less now than we have in the past. Yet, president Obama is proposing that we cut at least another $400 billion dollars. That is in addition to the $500 billion in cuts that is set to kick in in 2013 unless Congress acts. Whenever America has had a weak or diminished military we are MORE prone to attacks. Whenever we've built up our military, such as what president Ronald Reagan did, we have been able to avert attacks. Remember the Soviet Union collapsed and the Cold War ended without a single shot being fired. The Berlin wall was demolished and freedom allowed to enter into that oppressive society. Let's not return to an era like we had under the one-term Jimmy Carter when Iran kidnapped 52 Americans and held them hostage for 444. That was a time when the Soviet Union frequently made its presence known in weaker nations because they knew that we wouldn't intervene. Let's keep our military strong!

http://blog.heritage.org/2012/01/08/chart-of-the-week-defense-spending-throughout-u-s-history/

Saturday, January 7, 2012

Carter Likes Romney as Candidate

Let's see we have the second worst president and the last Republican nominee who lost the election both endorsing him. This is the reason I am hoping that Santorum wins. I know people say he doesn't have the money or the organization but look what happened when he finished only 8 votes behind Romney in Iowa. He got $1 million dollars the next day and another million in the next couple days. If he is our nominee we will pour out even more money and really get behind him because we MUST defeat Obama or our country is likely through as we know it.